Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.729782 4.455525 5.265019 6.231954 7.352462 8.606908 10.114336
2025-08-10 2.528529 3.408631 4.495126 5.923415 7.738502 9.953909 12.846493
2025-08-17 1.833051 2.739506 3.958186 5.691462 8.063532 11.162224 15.475546
2025-08-24 1.441068 2.354454 3.675177 5.681553 8.599720 12.626712 18.525067
2025-08-31 1.168860 2.069617 3.459442 5.696468 9.125711 14.084144 21.664501
2025-09-07 0.949030 1.812598 3.228135 5.630760 9.493361 15.316435 24.562243
2025-09-14 0.744511 1.533588 2.906608 5.360644 9.490415 15.967949 26.625746
2025-09-21 0.623181 1.374618 2.754063 5.334941 9.855266 17.192687 29.639665
2025-09-28 0.525246 1.237856 2.614837 5.304984 10.196198 18.391975 32.690982
2025-10-05 0.487980 1.215158 2.680996 5.647664 11.207201 20.763232 37.812538
2025-10-12 0.437259 1.152677 2.658741 5.818123 11.921793 22.683733 42.316018
2025-10-19 0.401143 1.115095 2.679526 6.070873 12.806227 24.957723 47.570840
2025-10-26 0.345303 1.020681 2.570255 6.057130 13.201298 26.425869 51.587636
2025-11-02 0.282622 0.894059 2.369326 5.825846 13.148361 27.078865 54.212645
2025-11-09 0.232370 0.786618 2.192080 5.617675 13.113195 27.752425 56.912266
2025-11-16 0.201655 0.725285 2.112879 5.614034 13.493215 29.234564 61.197825
2025-11-23 0.176378 0.673141 2.046977 5.630654 13.914514 30.823530 65.784993
2025-11-30 0.151258 0.614292 1.952893 5.566174 14.149919 32.056699 69.763676
2025-12-07 0.122517 0.534372 1.786510 5.298963 13.901464 32.285448 71.784450
2025-12-14 0.106353 0.493029 1.719752 5.273570 14.200560 33.661488 76.171250
2025-12-21 0.092315 0.454944 1.655080 5.243932 14.484827 35.023561 80.611009
2025-12-28 0.089634 0.460575 1.723897 5.583145 15.686030 38.431440 89.454886
2026-01-04 0.082773 0.447087 1.730730 5.751887 16.484775 41.014385 96.723490